- Mason Bartholomew
- Oct 14
- 5 min read
The Cardinals suffered their fourth straight loss on Sunday, falling to the Indianapolis Colts by a score of 31-27. While the Colts are a good team, this marked yet another week of Arizona playing competitive football, but being unable to close out the game. This was supposed to be the easy portion of the schedule, and with the league's second-hardest strength of schedule from week seven on, things look like they’ll only get worse barring a miracle.
Jonathan Gannon’s seat feels scorching hot, and the betting market reflects it. He needs a win in the worst way, or he could be shown the door come Monday morning.
The Green Bay Packers coming to town could provide the spark that Arizona needs, but they’re an extremely talented team with an offense similar to the Colts and a much scarier defensive front. Let’s take a look at matchups on both sides of the ball and determine how winnable this game is for Arizona.
Green Bay Offense vs Arizona Defense
The Packers' offense profiles similarly to the Colts in that they both want to lean on their running games with bellcow running backs and strong offensive lines, piggybacking off that success with play action passing that gives their quarterbacks time to work.
Jonathan Taylor ran all over the Cardinals last week, totaling 123 yards on 21 carries, good for 5.9 yards per carry. Taylor has been excellent all season, but the Colts' PFF run blocking grade ranks fifth in the league, showcasing that Indianapolis' rushing success is a complete effort.
The Packers have a back in Josh Jacobs that is fully capable of doing the same amount of damage Taylor did, if not more, thanks to his punishing running style.
Green Bay’s team run blocking grade sits all the way down at 25th in the league, as they’ve been hampered by offensive line injuries, but week six was by far their best performance, albeit against a Cincinnati defense that Ohio State University would find success against.
The Packers' passing game has found quite a bit of success this year. While the offensive line injuries have at times held them down, they’ve been able to generate explosive plays through the air at the league's fifth-highest rate over the last month.
The Packers can generate chunks of yardage on short throws or deep ones, thanks to a deep group of weapons, including a tackle-breaking machine in tight end Tucker Kraft and multiple burners at receiver, the most exciting(and healthy) of which being rookie Matthew Golden, who has seen his role grow over the last few weeks, and showcased his full skillset against Cincinati.
Romeo Doubs is having a great season in a contract year for Green Bay, and Christian Watson could potentially make his season debut on Sunday, giving the Packers yet another deep option.
Jordan Love is the offensive X-factor for Green Bay, and now that he’s past the knee injury that bothered him for most of last season, his play resembles a lot more of the late-year breakout that got everyone so excited two years ago. He’s graded out as PFF’s 5th best quarterback overall, and the best QB in the league against the blitz.
The best and seemingly only way to get Love off his spot this season is being able to get pressure with three or four rushers while maintaining strong coverage on the backend, as his grade drops all the way to 49.8 in that scenario, ranking 19th among qualified passers. The only team able to do this was Cleveland, and while Josh Sweat has been awesome this season, he isn’t Myles Garrett.
The Cardinals' overall grade out as the league’s 25th-rated pass rush, and it doesn’t seem feasible to say that they’ll figure things out against an offensive line that’s now healthy, and one of the most talented that they’ve seen so far.
Green Bay Defense VS Arizona Offense
The conversation around Arizona’s run game can be told rather quickly: with or without Kyler Murray under center, the run game completely stinks. The run blocking has been bad, grading out as the league's 24th overall group, and the backfield rotation of Michael Carter, Bam Knight and Emari Demercado can’t pick up yardage if the blocking isn’t there.
The Cardinals are generating explosive runs on 3.1% of carries over the last month, which ranks 24th in the league as well, and when you pit that against a Packers defense allowing explosive runs on just 1.6% of carries over that same span, the offense is going to be in 2nd/3rd and long situations all day.
At the time of writing this article, it’s unclear whether Murray and Marvin Harrison Jr. will be available on Sunday. Jacoby Brissett was awesome last week, but I’ll be seriously concerned if he has to start again.
As previously mentioned, it’s doubtful the run game puts whoever is at QB in advantageous spots on 2nd and 3rd down, which was acceptable against an Indy team so desperate for a pass rush they felt the need to use wide receiver Ashton Dulin as part of a blitz package.
But Rashan Gary and Micah Parsons are both sensational edge rushers who are going to give the Cardinals' O-line fits. I expect Paris Johnson to hold his own, as he has all season, but Jonah Williams is going to get worked if he doesn’t get help from a running back or tight end.
The Packers could be without their best interior rusher in Devonte Wyatt, and are likely to be missing their third edge rusher, Lukas Van Ness, two big breaks for Arizona, as both are playing very well. The Packers defense has ceded big plays through the air at a 21.3% clip over the last month, ranking just 23rd in the league, though a decent amount of that can be attributed to a miserable night in Dallas. Against Washington, Cleveland and Cincinnati, the longest completion they allowed was 20 yards.
Game Prediction: Cardinals Lose 24-7
The statistical profiles of both teams paint a rough picture for Arizona. The Cardinals will have either Murray on an injured foot or a backup in Brissett, supplemented by one of the league's worst rushing attacks against one of its best run defenses, which will likely allow the Green Bay pass rush to pin its ears back.
On the flipside, an Arizona defense giving up explosive plays at one of the worst rates in the league faces a rushing attack rounding into form and a passing game that already ranks among the league's most explosive.
The Packers have had trouble getting up for games against poor competition so far this season, but unless Arizona manages to fluster Love into some turnovers, I think the Gannon era could come to a tough end on Sunday.

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